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Vodafone aims at autumn listing
 Vodafone will be listed on the stock exchange in the autumn, in
September or October, following an offering directed at institutional and
general investors. This was confirmed by the Vodafone Chairman of the
Board in an interview with today's Markaðurinn [The Market], the business
section of Fréttablaðið. As the country's second-largest telecom firm,
Vodafone is majority-owned by the Enterprise Investment Fund, which holds
79.5% of company stock. If the listing proceeds as planned, Vodafone will
be the first company that the Fund lists on the exchange. A number of
firms have announced plans for market listing in the recent term, although
only one has been finalised since the crash: the Hagar listing in December
2011. We expect that new corporate listings on the main market will begin
to rise in the second half of the year and that 2013 will be a big year
for new listings.
Wave of new listings in the offing
Firms drive a variety of benefits from stock exchange
listing. The securities market increases their access to new share
capital, and listed companies generally have easier access to credit.
Under a capital controls regime, the share capital that companies can
access is in Icelandic krónur only; therefore, firms that need increased
equity and operate primarily in the domestic market are likely candidates
for listing. In addition, stock market listing can provide an exit route
for owners wishing to reduce or close out their positions in the company.
Such owners include banks or other providers of capital that have
converted debt into share capital and do not intend to hold their stake in
the company for the long term. This category covers a large number of
companies undergoing financial restructuring. Another example is
investment funds that generally have a defined holding period of 3-5
years. Listing is an effective way for them to sell their holdings at the
end of that period. The listing of Vodafone, which is owned by the
Enterprise Investment Fund, is an example of this. Other companies that
are partly or wholly owned by the Fund are likely to be listed in the near
future, among them Advania, which has announced plans for listing in 2013,
and N1, which has announced its plans to go public within two years.
Promens and Icelandic Group will probably join them before too long.
Other firms that have been mentioned in this context are TM and
Eimskip, both of which have announced plans for listing; the real estate
firms Reginn and Reitir, insurance firms VíS and Sjóvá; and the oil
company Skeljungur. Some of them will probably manage to complete
preparation for listing later this year or in 2013, adding to domestic
stock market offerings. The supply of shares available will depend on how
large a stake is sold, as the Nasdaq OMXI exchange requires that 25% of a
listed company's shares be owned by general investors.
Decline in residential leases
 A total of 501 residential leases were registered in April, 191
fewer than in March. The decline measures 28%. The year-on-year decline is
almost 20%, as registered leases totalled 611 in April a year ago. This
accords with developments in the past few months, with the rental market
contracting markedly after the post-crisis surge. In the greater Reykjavík
area, a total of 350 leases were registered in April, down 15% from the
April 2011 total of 413. In the first four months of the year, a total of
2,723 leases were registered nationwide, as compared with 2,887 for the
same period in 2011. This corresponds to a YoY decline of 6%. Concurrent
with the contraction in rentals, the market for house purchases is
growing. A total of 1,519 purchase agreements for homes in the greater
Reykjavík area were registered in the first four months of 2012, an
increase of about one-fifth YoY.
Treasury bill auction
this Friday
 According to a press
release issued by Government Debt Management (GDM) yesterday, GDM will
hold its monthly auction of Treasury bills at 11:00 on Friday. In keeping
with the GDM issuance calendar, two bills will be offered: a three-month
bill maturing on 15 August 2011, and a six-month bill maturing on 15
November 2011. The former series, originally issued in February, is ISK
1.9 bn in size. As usual, the lowest accepted price - and therefore
the highest yield - determines the selling price for each series.
Weak participation in April Treasury bill auction
Participation was poor in GDM's April Treasury bill auction,
not least in view of the fact that bills amounting to ISK 14 bn nominal
value are scheduled to mature during the month. Bids submitted for the two
series on offer totalled just over ISK 5.8 bn, not even half the amount of
the upcoming maturity. At this auction, demand was more or less equally
distributed between the two bills, although interest has generally been
concentrated in the shorter maturity ever since GDM began issuing three-
and six-month bills simultaneously. Bids for the three-month bills
totalled ISK 2.98 bn, with only ISK 850 million accepted at a flat rate of
3.20%. Bids for the six-month bills totalled ISK 2.85 bn, with ISK 1.25 bn
accepted at a flat rate of 3.50%.
Treasury borrowing terms deteriorate
The Treasury's borrowing terms for both three- and six-month
bills deteriorated sharply between the March and April auctions. In March,
the flat rate on the three-month bills was 2.80%, some 40 bp lower than in
April. Interest rates have not been this high since the November Treasury
bill auction. The same is true of the longer bills: in March, the flat
rate on the six-month bills was 3.30%, a full 20 bp below the April rate.
This cannot be traced back to bond market developments, as the closing
yield on RIKB13 was 4.2% the day before the April Treasury bill auction
and 4.3% the day before the March auction. The Central Bank of Iceland
(CBI) Monetary Policy Committee's (MPC) decision to raise interest rates
by 25 basis points in the interim may have had some effect, however. At
yesterday's close, the yield on RIKB13 was 4.3%, broadly the same as just
before the last auction, and the CBI's policy rate is the same.
Low Treasury bill balance Treasury bills maturing
in May amount to ISK 18 bn, which indicates that participation in Friday's
auction will be strong. The Treasury bill stock declined by ISK 12 bn in
April, or from ISK 50.4 bn to ISK 38.5 bn, the lowest since GDM began
issuing Treasury bonds again after the collapse of the banks. It is also
considerably below GDM's year-end 2012 target of ISK 45 bn.
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| NASDAQ OMX ICE, 5/8/2012
|
| Category |
Volume |
| Equities |
16,107 |
| Bonds |
1,059 |
| Total |
17,166 |
| REIBOR Market, 5/8/2012 |
| Term |
REIBID |
REIBOR |
| O/N |
4.25% |
4.50% |
| SW |
4.25% |
4.50% |
| 1M |
4.50% |
5.00% |
| 3M |
4.70% |
5.20% |
| 6M |
4.80% |
5.30% |
| 12M |
5.00% |
5.50% |
| Exchange Rates, 5/8/2012
|
| |
pr.ISK |
3m.Libor |
3m.fwd. |
| USD |
125.69 |
0.47% |
1.4 |
| GBP |
202.12 |
1.01% |
2.0 |
| JPY |
1.58 |
0.20% |
0.0 |
| EUR |
162.60 |
0.62% |
1.8 |
| Vt. ISK |
223.78 |
0.81% |
2.4 |
| Currency Crosses, 5/9/2012
|
| |
EUR |
GBP |
USD |
| GBP |
0.804 |
|
|
| USD |
1.294 |
1.608 |
|
| CHF |
1.201 |
1.493 |
0.928 |
| JPY |
102.937 |
127.956 |
79.571 |
| NOK |
7.564 |
9.402 |
5.847 |
| SEK |
8.905 |
11.069 |
6.883 |
| Icelandic Equities,
5/8/2012 |
| ID |
Vol. |
Yield |
Day.ch. |
| NYHR |
- |
5.74 |
0.00% |
| FO-ATLA |
- |
167.50 |
0.00% |
| FO-AIR |
- |
119.00 |
0.85% |
| FO-BANK |
- |
77.00 |
0.00% |
| HAGA |
785 |
18.85 |
0.80% |
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